What factors are considered when selecting a method of forecasting?

Factors considered when selecting a method of forecasting

i. The environment within which the organisation operates e.g. it may be useful to use time series analysis if it is stable.

ii. The time horizon e.g. fifty-years’ forecast makes it inappropriate to use time series analysis

iii. Costs Vs Benefits Analysis e.g. the Delphi technique requires the use of experts and this has a cost bearing on organizational resources

iv. Accuracy of method in identifying patterns and trends

v. Ease of understanding of the technique involved.

vi. Accuracy of the method in predicting turning points



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